5km Predictor Test

Testing and measurement are the means of collecting information upon which subsequent performance evaluations and decisions are made. In the analysis, we need to consider the factors influencing the results.

Objective

The 5km Predictor Test predicts an athlete's 5-kilometre time.

Required Resources

To conduct this test, you will require:

400-metre track
Stopwatch
An assistant

How to conduct the test

The athlete must run 4 × 1600 metres with 90 seconds of recovery between each run, and the time for every 1600 metres is recorded.

Assessment

I have not been able to locate any normative data for this test.

Predicted 5k time = (Average of the four recorded times) x 3.125

Why 3.125? We require a 5000 metres time; hence we need to divide the time by 1600 and multiply the result by 5000 (5000 ÷ 1600 = 3.125)

The following calculator will predict your 5km time using your test results. Enter your four 1600 metre times and then select the "Calculate 5km Time" button.

1^st 1600m mins secs		2^nd 1600m mins secs
3^rd 1600m mins secs		4^th 1600m mins secs
		5km Time mins secs

When to use

To predict performance and monitor progress, this test can be used at the:

beginning of the winter training to establish a baseline (September/October)
just before indoor racing (December/January)
just before the outdoor season (March/April)

Analysis

Analysis of the result is by comparing it with previous tests' results. It is expected that the analysis would indicate an improvement with appropriate training between each test.

Target Group

This test is suitable for middle-distance athletes but not for individuals where the test would be contraindicated.

Reliability

Test reliability refers to how a test is consistent and stable in measuring its intended measure. Reliability will depend upon how strict the test is conducted and the individual's level of motivation to perform the test. The following link provides various factors influencing the results and test reliability.

Validity

This test provides a means to monitor training on the athlete's physical development. Test validity refers to the degree to which the test measures what it claims to measure and the extent to which inferences, conclusions, and decisions based on test scores are appropriate and meaningful. The degree to which the test predicts 5km times is high.

Advantages

Minimal equipment required
Simple to set up and conduct
More than one athlete can conduct the test at the same time
The athlete can administer the test

Disadvantages

Specific facilities required
Assistant required to administer the test

Free Calculator

5km Predictor - a free Microsoft Excel spreadsheet that you can download and use on your computer.

Page Reference

If you quote information from this page in your work, then the reference for this page is:

MACKENZIE, B. (2005) 5km Predictor Test [WWW] Available from: https://www.brianmac.co.uk/pred5k.htm [Accessed